Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-15
in China
20 Jun 2015 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries China
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability Medium (China)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 11.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 20 Jun 2015 12:00 83 --- No people China
        Green 2 20 Jun 2015 18:00 74 --- No people China

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 20 Jun 2015 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.3, 111.3
          GREEN
          		 2 20 Jun 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.2, 111.1
          GREEN
          		 2 21 Jun 2015 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.8, 110.8
          GREEN
          		 2 21 Jun 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.8, 110.8
          GREEN
          		 2 22 Jun 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 4.8 million people 17.8, 110.8 China
          GREEN
          		 2 22 Jun 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 14.7 million people 19.2, 110.5 China
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Jun 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.3, 109.9 China
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Jun 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people 23.9, 107.8 China
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          China 11 million people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Hainan China
          Guangdong China
          Guangxi China

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Lingcheng Hainan China City -
          Wancheng Hainan China City -
          Jiaji Hainan China City -
          Wencheng Hainan China City -
          Dingcheng Hainan China City -
          Jinjiang Hainan China City -
          Haikou Hainan China City 610000 people
          Lingao Hainan China City 65000 people
          Dongli Guangdong China City 110000 people
          Leicheng Guangdong China City -
          Zhanjiang Guangdong China City 640000 people
          Chikan Guangdong China City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Lingshui 25 0
          Jtalaishi 121 0
          Meilan HAK 23 0
          Haikou 26 Civ. Paved Yes 11800
          Zhanjiang ZHA 75 0
          Suixi 32 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Hsu Wen China
          Lin Kao China
          Haikou CNHAK China
          Lei Shou China
          Zhanjiang CNZHA China

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Xiaomei Duzuong 1975
          Niululing Wanquan 1979
          Songtao Nandu Jiang 1970
          Jiatan Haizai 1961
          Fushan Huachang 1974
          Hexi Rong Jiang 1958
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.